The Big Uh-Oh is Here!
Wednesday, April 30th, 2008Okay, the news on the recession front is that we’re in one and we better start doing things a little differently. And while the lenders of the world would like us to keep borrowing - more in a minute - the University of Toronto’s Institute for Policy Analysis says that Ontario’s economy contracted .4% in the first quarter of 2008, and is in the midst of shrinking again. Since Ontario makes up almost 40% of Canada’s economy, an Ontario downturn, no matter how mild, is going to be felt everywhere. So maybe it’s time to step cautiously.
The new head of domestic banking at the Royal Bank, Dave McKay, doesn’t agree. He says that the Canadian consumer is very healthy right now, and being in such good shape could probably afford to borrow even more. Really? Course, Mr. McKay is praying that Canadians keep borrowing because the investment banking business - the other big money-maker - sucks. So lenders have to pick up the slack so the banks’ profits don’t drop off.
Bankruptcy professionals have already begun to sound the alarm. All that go-go spending on credit has put many people precariously close to the edge. Hopefully, we’re waking up to the reality that we’ve spent money we won’t earn for the next two, three or even four years - if we’re lucky enough to have a job!
There are pundits who believe this “waking up” doesn’t bode well for the economy as a whole, since when people stop spending money that just makes the whole thing come crashing down. But I’d argue that we haven’t been spending money in our last mad dash to the mall, we’ve been spending credit - money we haven’t made yet - and so all we’ve really done by shopping ourselves silly using our credit cards is delay the inevitable in the cycle of the economy.
Like the seasons, the economy has a cycle. We can’t change that. As much as we try to wish it away with dumb terms like, (said in a deep voice with a very serious face) “the fundamentals have changed,” that’s a load of rot. Fundamentals don’t change. That’s why they’re called “fundamentals.” What changes is our willingness to follow the basic common-sense rules.
Rules like: You don’t spend money you don’t have. Why is that rocket science? If we don’t have the money to pay for the furniture, the new dress, the vacation now, why do we thing this money is going to magically appear in 30 days, 6 months or a year. And why - if we’re having trouble making ends meet now - would we add the extra cost of interest to our outlay? Are we dopes?
I started working with a new couple yesterday - lovely people. I have high hopes. But when I took her credit cards away, she looked like she was going to toss her cookies. “Suppose I need something?” she said, a look of utter panic on her face.
“Need something like what?” I asked.
“Well, suppose I see something that’s a really good deal that I need?” she queried sincerely.
“Need or want?” I asked.
She paused. He laughed. She was stuck.
We can’t even tell the differences between things we NEED and things we WANT. We’ve been so busy satisfying our every whim RIGHT NOW, that we’ve totally lost perspective. Hell, we’ve totally lost our senses.
What did people do before there was a Starbucks on every corner? Do you NEED to have a cup of coffee that costs three bucks? Really?
How often did your parents eat out when they were raising you? Every second day as many of us do? Really?
And they took you on exotic vacations every year too, right? Hmmm.
So when did we begin to think that nice-to-haves are have-to-haves?
I’ll tell you when. We began to spend indiscriminately when we were introduced to the idea that we could have whatever we wanted right now and would only have to pay a fraction of what it would cost - somewhere between 2-3% — in monthly payments. That 2-3% minimum payment feels painless, and so we got in the habit of spending without thinking. We want it, we buy it. No money in the bank, no problem. We can whip out our credit card, or take a cash advance, and we’ve got it. No harm, no foul. Really?
We’ve swapped poker night with friends for a trip to Vegas. We exchanged fixing the car for buying a new car. We’ve substituted borrowing for saving. And with all these changes we have been doing ourselves harm, and we’re about to find out how much.
It’s time to prioritize where our money goes. Video games aren’t a necessity. Nor are new clothes, furniture or eating out. And as much as you think you could never survive without that coffee in the morning or that glass of wine in the evening, I’m here to tell you those aren’t priorities either. They are nice-to-haves. If you’ve got so much as a dollar of debt, you’ve got to put the brakes on the nice-to-haves until you’re out of the hole.
It’s also time to go back to bargain shopping. I don’t want to hear the yada yada on quality versus price. Bargain shopping doesn’t mean buying crap. It means buying quality at the best price going. And it means only buying what you NEED.
And it’s a time to lower our expectations about what life should be like. Since when does a trip to the amusement park beat a day playing baseball, volleyball or soccer at the local (free) park with friends?
While you’re at it, consider what skills you have to offer in exchange for things you need done so you can help someone else save some money too. Consider swapping what you have for what you need. There are people out there who are car mechanics, contractors, home-care providers, sewers, bakers, cabinet-makers. Figure out what you have to swap and do the deal to save some money.
Of course, you can’t say you’ve SAVED anything if you immediately turn around and spend the money. Nope. You’re just deluding yourself. Instead, every time you SAVE a dollar, immediately apply it to your debt. You can keep a simple chart on the wall to keep track of how you’re doing. Get some momentum and you’ll be shocked to see how quickly you can get out of debt.
Hey, you can believe me or you can believe The Banker. You decide.