How greedy are you?
No, I'm not trying to insult you. I'm responding to all those people
who write to me - and there are plenty of them - to ask how to turn their
measly savings into a whopping amount of money. Really? You think there's
a magic formula? If there were, and I knew it, do you think I'd be a
working grunt?
For some unfathomable reason, people have huge expectations about how
investments should perform. I think it may be because of the media that
hype The Bestest Investments and promote the idea that someone knows
what's going on. Hello. I have some breaking news for you… Nobody knows.
So that's the first thing you need to wrap your brain around. Again,
if all those gurus actually had the key to making buckets full of money
from their investments, why wouldn't they just do that instead of trying
to convince us of how smart they all are?
The second thing you need to wrap your head around is this investment
creed: the higher the return the greater the risk. Yup. That pretty well
sums up investing.
So back to my question: how greedy are you? Or put another way, how
much risk are you prepared to take?
Everything has some risk attached. Doing nothing with your money means
leaving it to wilt under the pressure of inflation. Your $20,000 has
to grow to $36,000 to have the same buying power in 40 years. So doing
nothing means you could end up poorer by virtue of the fact that your
money just won't go as far. If you don't believe me, go ask your grandmother
what she paid for a loaf of bread.
Want to take the least amount of risk? Hey, I'm not here to judge you,
just to inform you. There's a rule you need to know about if you're trying
to figure out how your money will grow and it's called The Rule of 72.
It's a simple way to determine how long it will take for an investment
to double. It's often used with people who are investing in interest-bearing
options like saving accounts or GICs, usually to make them feel small
and stupid because their return is low and it's taking so looooong for
their money to grow. But it's a good rule and you should know it. It
goes like this:
72 divided by the return on your investment will give you the number
of years it'll take for your money to double in value.
So, if you're getting 5% return on a GIC, then the formula would look
like this:
72 ÷ 5 = 14.4 years
This formula is actually a little off, and gets more "off" as
the rate of return increases, particularly when you're looking at returns
of 20% plus. But it's handy, particularly for the math-challenged. And
it can be used backwards too: Want to double your money in six years?
Divide 6 into 72 to find that you'll need to earn a return of about 12%.
That means, that if you invest in a GIC earning 4%, according to The
Rule of 72, it'll take 18 years for your money to double. Hmmm.
So, you're thinking to yourself, who would settle for a pathetic GIC
when you could jump into the stock market and earn stellar rewards.
Hang on to your hats. Before you go dissing GICs, might I point out
that if you are in any way concerned about protecting your capital -
making sure the money you sweated your ass off to earn doesn't disappear
into the ether - then you're concerned about risk. The least risky investments
make sure your capital is completely, totally and utterly safe. Of course,
they also have a tendency to earn the lowest return going.
Which is how I come back to the question: So, how greedy are you?
If you're not prepared to settle for taking 18 years to grow your $2,000
to $4,000, then you're willing to accept more risk. In doing so, you're
prepared to accept that some of your sweat-money might evaporate. You
are? Well, let's have a look at the investment
pyramid then, shall we?
It's important that you understand how much risk you can stand before
you start waking up in the middle of the night with the sweats. That's
no way to live. And it's no way to invest. You should not only know how
much risk you're prepared to take, but also what you're investing in.
And don't think that because something has been recommended to you,
that it's okay to buy it. Recently, a senior executive in an investment
house asked one of his sales people to explain a particular investment
option to him. When the sales guy said, "I don't know how to explain
it," the executive said, "Then maybe we shouldn't be selling
it!" Rocket-science, man!
If you don't understand what you're buying, you shouldn't be buying
it. If you don't know the risks involved, you shouldn't be buying it.
And if you think it's too good to be true, you shouldn't be buying it.